Clearly, anyone who trades does so with the expectation of making profits. We take risks to gain rewards. The question each trader must answer, however, is what kind of return he or she expects to make? This is a very important consideration, as it speaks directly to what kind of trading will take place, what market or markets are best suited to the purpose, and the kinds of risks required.
Let s start with a very simple example. Suppose a trader would like to make 10% per year on a very consistent basis with little variance. There are any number of options available. If interest rates are sufficiently high, the trader could simply put the money in a fixed income instrument like a CD or a bond of some kind and take relatively little risk. Should interest rates not be sufficient, the trader could use one or more of any number of other markets (stocks, commodities, currencies, etc.) with varying risk profiles and structures to find one or more (perhaps in combination) which suits the need. The trader may not even have to make many actual transactions each year to accomplish the objective.
A trader looking for 100% returns each year would have a very different situation. This individual will not be looking at the cash fixed income market, but could do so via the leverage offered in the futures market. Similarly, other leverage based markets are more likely candidates than cash ones, perhaps including equities. The trader will almost certainly require greater market exposure to achieve the goal, and most likely will have to execute a larger number of transactions than in the previous scenario.
As you can see, your goal dictates the methods by which you achieve it. The end certainly dictates the means to a great degree.
There is one other consideration in this particular assessment, though, and it is one which harks back to the earlier discussion of willingness to lose. Trading systems have what are commonly referred to as drawdowns. A drawdown is the distance (measured in % or account/portfolio value terms) from an equity peak to the lowest point immediately following it. For example, say a trader’s portfolio rose from $10,000 to $15,000, fell to $12,000, then rose to $20,000. The drop from the $15,000 peak to the $12,000 trough would be considered a drawdown, in this case of $3000 or 20%.
Each trader must determine how large a drawdown (in this case generally thought of in percentage terms) he or she is willing to accept. It is very much a risk/reward decision. On one extreme are trading systems with very, very small drawdowns, but also with low returns (low risk – low reward). On the other extreme are the trading systems with large returns, but similarly large drawdowns (high risk – high reward). Of course, every trader’s dream is a system with high returns and small drawdowns. The reality of trading, however, is often less pleasantly somewhere in between.
The question might be asked what it matters if high returns in the objective. It is quite simple. The more the account value falls, the bigger the return required to make that loss back up. That means time. Large drawdowns tend to mean long periods between equity peaks. The combination of sharp drops in equity value and lengthy time spans making the money back can potentially be emotionally destabilizing, leading to the trader abandoning the system at exactly the wrong time. In short, the trader must be able to accept, without concern, the draw-downs expected to occur in the system being used.
It is also important to match one’s expectations up with one’s trading timeframe. It was noted earlier that in some cases more frequent trading can be required to achieve the risk/return profile sought. If the expectations and timeframe conflict, a resolution must be found, and it must be the questions from this expectations assesment which have to be reconsidered, since the time frames determined in the previous one are probably not very flexible (especially going from longer-term trading to shorter-term participation).
John Forman is author of The Essentials of Trading (Wiley - April 2006), and a near 20 year veteran of trading and analyzing the markets. Visit Anduril Analytics to learn more about his trading, market analysis, and research activities and to find out how you can get a copy of Anduril’s free report on what every trader and investor needs to succeed.
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Patrik
Sunday 27 December 2009
Forex Autopilot reviews will say that it`s the best, website reviews will tell you it`s awesome. But really, is Forex Killer all that it`s made out to be? In recent times it has become one of the three “big boys” in automated Forex trading software for the newbie. The other two leaders are Killer and Tracer. And, naturally, the creators of this program say that it`s brilliant, but don`t they just want to sell it to you?
Truth be told, this little program does give results, but it is wise to get into currency trading with a knowledge of all the common problems etc. If you enter the world of Forex knowing nothing, you can be burned. Try stay away from common pit-falls such as:
Don`t expect the software to do everything. While Forex Autopilot is automated it WON`T do everything, it still needs the human touch. You won`t have to watch it all the time, but you will have to exercise good monetary decision-making to reap good profits from it. It`s proven success rate is around 85%, that`s pretty impressive. Educate yourself about the markets a little more and you`ll see better results, the guru`s won`t tell you this in their Forex Autopilot reviews..
You WILL get a losing trade. But, this software will greatly increase your chances of having a winning trade. Winning trades are often 4x the size of losing ones, so they often make up for them. To be blunt (sorry), if you want something with no-risk then you should not be trading using Forex, rather make a living growing strawberries. BUT, the rewards from being successful while trading currency with this system far outweigh even a decent salary!
No matter what other Forex Autopilot reviews say, you won`t become a millionaire overnight. This is a legitimate online business opportunity, and as such, has the potential to bring in an excellent salary in a few months if used properly.
Forex Autopilot is a class-leading auto trading software. The world of Forex has been revolutionized by these automated trading platforms. When choosing the right one to purchase, the choices can be difficult. We’ve made it easier for you by reviewing the top four at ForexAutoTradingReviews.
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Monday 24 November 2008
If you want to become a currency trader and win the good news is you can but you must be aware that 95% of traders lose, because they fail to consider the 3 key elements we are going to look at in their currency trading strategies…
Here are the 3 key elements and you must have them all to win
1. Only You Can Make Yourself Successful
You will be bombarded with forex advice online from mentors and gurus selling sure fire systems and forex robots which promise you untold riches and you don’t have to make any effort! If you want to become a currency trader from home and win - ignore them.
Common sense tells you that you don’t get rich without effort.
Most of the systems sold online by vendors promote their products with back tested meaningless simulations and they mean nothing.
When you trade you don’t have the luxury of knowing the closing prices.
You need to work at the basics and get the right forex education to win.
You don’t have to work hard, you just need to work smart and you can get a forex trading system that can win together in about 2 weeks.
2. A Simple Logical Strategy Which Avoids the Myths
There are many myths that can put you off getting a robust winning strategy and they include the markets move to a scientific theory ( they don’t ) and the more complicated a strategy is the better it is likely to succeed ( the opposite is true) and there are many others. You need to understand and build a system based upon the following logic:
Markets are an odds based game and you need to trade high odds sets ups. You also need to keep your system simple, because simple systems are less likely to break in the brutal world of trading, than complicated ones.
Building a trading system is easy, the next bit is the hard part - master it though and you could be on your way to a triple digit annual income.
3. Discipline and Execution of Trading Signals
In forex trading you need to lose to win. You need to accept the market will make you look a fool and that you will face at times, weeks of losses. When you’re losing you need to keep executing your trading signals with discipline, through the losing period, until you hit a home run and clean up.
I know many traders who lose 70% of the time but make huge profits, because their discipline and money management is so good.
Forex trading is not about being right and being clever, it’s about the dollars you put in your pocket.
Remember …
Forex trading looks easy but its not and you wouldn’t expect it to be, with the rewards on offer which, can be life changing. However, if you are prepared to make an effort and learn currency trading correctly, focus on making money and you are disciplined at all times, you can make staggering gains.
Keep in mind the market doesn’t beat the trader, the trader beats himself. If you want to become a currency trader, keep this point firmly in mind and make sure you have the right system, confidence in it and the discipline to execute it and you can make triple digit annual gains.
NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE
For free 2 x trading Pdf’s and more on how to Become a Currency Trader and an exclusive risk free Currency trading Course visit our website.
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Tuesday 28 October 2008
Picking Great Penny Stock is something of a controversy. Made famous in the film, ‘Boiler Room’, penny 4x software are generally defined as stocks valued at less than $5 dollars. Of greater importance than the stock price is what the stock stand for. Penny stock investors generally hope to make their money from either short or long term investing.
The long term investors are looking to spot the next big thing. They are the talent scouts of the investment world on the look out for a rising star. With good fundamentals (good management, good business model, product and a bit of luck) this company will hit it big. Now those shares you bought for a few cents (and at a few cents a share you can buy lots of them) are trading at tens of dollars. If you get really lucky they might go higher.
The short term traders look to profit within hours, maybe a few days if they are patient. They make money speculatively and are looking for indications a share price is rising and will continue to do so. Once the share hits a ceiling price - sold and the investor walks away with many more times his (or her) original stake.
The long term investors are those likely to take their time. They look at the company earnings, check out various ratios and establish cash flow through the company. They might look at management stocks holdings and are generally giving the company a health check.
The short term investors on the other hand are out for a quick buck. A favourable profit forecast, a development in the economy, anything at all that might double or triple the stock price overnight. Then it’s gone, the stock is sold and a new investment awaits.
Any investment carries with it a degree of risk but those associated with finding great penny stock are much higher. That is the great penny stock debate - is the risk worth the reward?
Risk 1:
Due to the smaller company size involved, penny stocks are not traded on any major exchanges. This, in turn, means that the rules around the disclosure of information is much less (to almost non-existant) and you could be investing in anything from a well run firm with “corporate” values to a backyard lemonade making family. Find out the information you need to make an informed decision is a must, research, speak to different brokers, telephone the company if you have to.
Risk number 2
is the lack of liquidity that surrounds these investments. Markets exist on the balance of supply and demand. If there is a demand for stock, there is a market and the price the market pays is down to supply. Not many people want to buy lemonade making business’ that they do not know much about, so having bought your penny stock (that you thought were great penny stock) you could have trouble selling them on. Coca-Cola shares on the other hand would be easier to sell because more people are likely to want to buy them.
The last risk is by far the greatest in my book. This puts millions of dollars into the hands of illegal trader world wide every year. This takes millions of dollars of hard earned cash from would be investors (often worried about retirement) and leaves the holding next to nothing. The last risk has been 4x “Pump and Dump”.
Step 1:
The “so-called” great penny stock that you found, that you heard about through that internet forum, that you got that newsletter on.. Well that stock has had its share price pumped up by unscrupulous brokers leaking false information. With very little real information available, these brokers buy penny stock for next to nothing and are able to create a false market. They put information into the ‘real world’ through the internet, through the media, maybe they even dupe a respected analyst who mentions it on TV. Next you know the share price rises (but with no real business to support it).
Step 2:
Having ‘pumped’ the stock price upwards, the brokers now sell these great penny stock to unwary investors. Cold calls and spam emails are all used to target their victims who are generally male, middle aged and with money to spend. Pressured sales techniques (boiler room tactics) are used to coerse and force the investor into buying these stocks on the basis that they are ‘going to be gold’. They will make your rich.
Having bought the stock for next to nothing, these criminal brokers have artificially inflated the stock price, pressured investors into buying and shut up shop. The demand for the stock starts to dwindle and with no real business fundamentals to keep the price high, they fall back to there next to nothing value. The investors are now left with their savings gone and a portfolio of (apparently) great penny stock that they cannot sell. Almost worse than nothing.
Penny Stocks are high risk investments with the potential for high rewards. If you can find that hidden gem, that stock that will make it through the ranks you’re on a winner and you way to massive profits.
For help finding Great Penny Stock and the Resources to help you trade visit -
http://www.thegreatpennystockdebate.blogspot.com
Happy hunting!
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Sunday 26 October 2008
I wanted to take the time to share with you a remarkable forex trader training course for you. I’ve been trading for some time now and I’ve learned a lot about what works and what doesn’t. There is one consistent type of failure I see often. The people that are looking to make big money starting out always end up losing all their money and quiting. This is a market that rewards the long term players. You have to start small and gradually grow as you learn. I started out with a goal of making $10 profit. I consistently aimed for bigger things until I got to numbers that shocked my friends. I’m going to show you how to properly do things, so you can be a successful person.
My first part of your forex trader training is to notice the amount of pairs you have available to you. You’re not going to be trading currency, but pairs of currency. This is how you make money. The problem you’re faced with is too much choice. You’ll probably feel like you need to try out a few of them. The key is trying one and practicing with it until you can profit from it. Once you achieve that, move onto another pair.
In the market, as you get a little experience under your belt, you might turn bullish. This means you typically over predict how well the market will do. This is a really bad state to get into because your money can disappear quite quickly. I suggest you remain on the slight bearish (cautious) side of the market until you get much better.
Act now and learn about the Forex Loophole.
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Sunday 26 October 2008
The method enclosed is proven to make money fast, anyone can do it and you don’t need much to get started, so it really is the best way to build small stakes into significant wealth - let’s look at it…
The business is becoming an online forex trader - Hang on!
You might be thinking I couldn’t do that, it’s too hard or only for big investors - no its not. Check out the advantages below and you will see why this is such a great opportunity to make money fast.
- Anyone can learn it no college education required in a few weeks
- You only need a few hundred dollars to get started
- You can leverage your account by 200:1 - In simple terms this means put down $500.00 and can trade 100,000! No credit checks required!
- There are opportunities for profit everyday
- There is never a bear market as one currency rises another must fall and vice versa
- You don’t need staff or stock just an internet connection and a computer and your all set
- This business takes just 30 minutes a day to run
So what do you actually need to do to make money fast in this business - what education is needed?
The answer is simple; you need to learn how to spot repetitive patterns on a forex chart.
Currency movements reflect changes in human psychology which never changes and shows up in high odds chart formations. All you need to do is spot the high odds chart patterns and trade them and currencies trend for weeks months or years, if you can lock into them and hold them you can pile up huge gains with leverage on your side.
You can learn to do this in just a couple of weeks and your all set to trade.
The key difference between winners and losers in currency trading is having the discipline to cut your losses - leverage is a double edged sword and you must do this. However, discipline is a mindset and you can acquire this trait, if you want to.
Taking small losses is part of the game of making big profits long term in fact, you can lose 70% of the time and make triple digit gains easily, if you run your profits and cut your losses.
Currency trading is a learned skill and today is open to all - you can open an account with just a few hundred dollars and your grated 200: 1 leverage immediately and can start seeking big gains.
All you need is the right education around 2 weeks study and the mindset to want to make money.
Sure it’s a challenge and you have to get the right education but for the effort you need to put no other business can give you such high rewards and in 30 minutes a day, you could be on the road to a life changing income.
Are you up for the exciting challenge that is global forex trading and the opportunity to make money fast?
NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE
For free 2 x trading Pdf’s, with 50 of pages of essential info and more on Currency Trading Basics visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com.
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Wednesday 22 October 2008
If you read the adverts for most forex robots, you simply plug them, in don’t need to really know much about trading and they will give you massive profits - but the reality is almost all will wipe you out quickly - here’s why…
Common sense should ring a bell and say can I really pay a few hundred dollars and make thousands a month back with no effort?
Of course, I haven’t seen banks use them r sack their dealers yet in favour of them and the reason is they don’t work and the track records are not real.
Read the disclaimer below and you will understand what I mean:
“CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown”.
Now you know why they show great track records - but there not real, there simulated and made up in hindsight and normally fail in real time trading.
A forex robot with a track record with the above on it is not really any indication of real profits that it will achieve.
We all can trade and make profits in hindsight, by 10 year old nephew can do that but I wouldn’t trust him to do it in real time!
If you want forex trading success surprise, surprise - you need to make a bit of effort, get the right forex education and do it on your own.
It’s not hard to learn and anyone has the potential to be a successful forex trader but there is a learning curve.
Forex trading can offer you huge rewards - but buying an automated forex trading system, with a simulated back tested record is not the way to do it.
Sure the copy is convincing and we all want money for doing nothing - but that’s not real life and certainly not the world of forex trading.
If you want to be a forex trader be prepared to learn the basics and get a forex trading strategy you can be confident in, learn to apply it with discipline and you will be well rewarded for your efforts with long term currency trading success.
NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE
For free 2 x trading Pdf’s, with 50 of pages of essential info and a course to Learn Currency Trading Online visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com.
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Tuesday 21 October 2008
With the threat of recession looming large, GDP growth looking anemic and inflation is touching new height every fortnight, should you consider investing your hard earned cash into the stock market? Or more importantly, is trading a wise choice considering such a stormy climate? If you looking for a new way of investment, look no further than online commodity trading and you can earn rich rewards depending on your investment, knowledge, risk taking ability amongst other things.
How do you do commodity trading?
Simple, you choose any good online commodity trading software and start investing. Yes, it is really that simple. However, you must ensure that you are aware of the techniques, terminology etc involved in trading commodities. Today, online commodity trading is a convenient and easy way to reap profits from an industry that is fast becoming very appealing to almost everyone. With online commodity trading software you can not just watch how the commodities you have invested in grow, but also analyze new trends, devise strategies, amongst other features.
What commodities to invest in?
With food and crude prices touching an all time high, the current market sure may not look as attractive to an outsider, but ask the futures traders who find it a challenging task to make money when the going gets tough. So, if you invest in crude, oil, gas you can benefit from the skyrocketing prices that are expected to further intensify as the quest for newer oil sources gets impetus. So also, if you have heard of the latest food crisis, investing in agriculture stocks will help you make money as the price of food prices soar.
What Commodity companies can you consider investing in?
While there are many commodity leaders, there are some companies that show promise. Of course, you should only invest in them if you have done your own research and should never go on advice alone. For online commodity trading in agriculture, especially seeds etc, Monsanto is a world renowned leader. The company spends much time and effort in innovating ways for agrarians to increase their produce. And because food grain demand is on fire now, Monsanto is reaping rich dividends with this rise in demand.
Another company that manufactures chemicals and produces seeds for various food grains is Syngenta. With its innovative ways, Syngenta has managed to help farmers increase their crop yield. Also, the company is witnessing a tremendous growth in sales and annual earnings due to the rising prices of these commodities. Both Monsanto and Syngenta are good stock choices for a serious commodity trader.
What are the other commodity trading options?
After food, the next most favorite sector for commodity traders is energy. Alternate sources of energy are hot investments in a world driven by global warming threat. However, before you invest you must be completely sure of your choice and be able to back it up with analytical data. Also, Mosaic, Potash, Agrium are other companies witnessing an increasing interest leading to high gains in sales and earnings. These fertilizer companies will benefit from the rising prices of food.
For further information, please visit Online Commodity Trading
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Tuesday 21 October 2008
Forex Trading is like driving. Without rear view mirror, signal lights, head lights and all that stuff on a car, will eventually lead to an accident. Same goes to these 5 tips that I am going to share. Without it to be a constant reminder for you when trading, will eventually leads to margin call. I hope this article will help you in anyway possible.
Heard The Phrase, K.I.S.S? - Keep it simple, stupid. When trading Forex, the last thing you want is a complicated analysis of the market. You want to keep it as simple as you possibly can. This applies to you trading strategy when using indicators. Too much info may harm your mental health. So, develop a really simple strategy that works for you. Don’t make it too difficult for you.
Make Sure Every Trade Is Worth Trading - Before a trade, always calculate you risk/reward ratio. Calculate how much you can gain from this trade and how much you can lose. If the rewards are greater, then by all means enter. But if its not, look for another opportunity.
Let It Run Like Forrest - Your profit, that is. It is a good thing to let your profits run, while moving your stop loss according to the trend. Also better and if you are confident with the trend, you may open up another trade to maximize you profits. Be sure to move you stop loss; you do not want to give back your profit now, would you?
Cut it like a Bad Weed - I’m talking about your loss. It is better to keep you losing trades as short as you can. Don’t move your stop loss either. Like I said in my previous article, respect your stop loss.
Use an Automated Trading System - Yup, that’s right. You are better off using a proven automated trading system. Using one of these systems will have a better impact on your Forex earnings, some systems claims and have proven to make $100,000 a year. On a plus side, this system will make you money 24/7, without human intervention. This is what most people need in order to generate money in forex.
In fact, there are many elite traders that are starting to use an automated trading system and realize a lot of benefits using it. Most elite traders create their own automated forex trading system. While for us, we may not have the expertise of creating an automated trading system, but there are systems that are available for us to use. To find out the most consistent automated trading system, just click here.
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Monday 20 October 2008
Here I am going to outlines some character traits which are admired in society as a whole but in forex trading will ensure you lose. Most traders simply cannot adapt from the traits needed in everyday life to succeed, to the unique traits you need in forex. If you don’t want to join the 95% of losers read on…
1. Consulting an Expert
If your computer breaks down or your car, you consult an expert. After all, you cant do everything - but in the forex market this leads to disaster. There are many experts and forex robot vendors, telling you to follow them but they will all see you lose.
The reason is forex trading stress comes from within and is based on knowledge, which gives confidence which leads to discipline. All successful traders know they are on their own and only they can give themselves success - but for the effort they have to put in the rewards can be life changing.
2. Trying to Be to Clever
You get many people who are clever and think because they are they deserve success but being clever wont help you, as forex trading is essentially simple and you don’t need to be.
This is proven by the fact that despite all the advances in news, forecasting, the power of software and PC’s the ratio of winners to losers remains the same as 50 years ago.
If you try and be too clever your trading system will have too many elements to break. Keep it simple, is a phrase which is very apt in forex trading.
3. Hard Work is What’s Needed
This is absolute rubbish.
There is no correlation between hard work and success in forex trading.
Sure in normal life you may get paid by the hour and the more hours you work, the more money you make but not in forex trading.
In trading you are judged on how good your marketing timing is with your trading signal and that’s it. It can take you all day or 10 minutes, it’s the end result in terms of profit on which you are judged.
You can put together a robust simple system in about two weeks and then spend less than 30 minutes a day on your trading and enjoy success.
In forex trading its all about working smart in the right areas rather than hard.
4. Being to Sociable
Since man first walked the earth he has sought the safety of groups and this has helped him survive and prosper over the centuries. Most people like to agree with the majority and not be on their own, it’s our nature.
Of course in forex trading the bulk of traders lose (95%) so you need to isolate yourself and be on your own. Most people can’t do this and fall victim to their emotions and want to agree with the news and other traders.
Most successful traders don’t care about being on their own, as they know if they want to make money it’s the best place to be.
A Different Mindset for Success
When you start trading forex you need a completely different mindset than you do in normal life and people fail to get to grips with the 4 points made above - but to win you must understand there significance.
If you understand the above, you will know what’s needed to succeed and can enjoy currency trading success.
NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE
For free 2 x trading Pdf’s, with 50 of pages of essential info on Essential Forex Education visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com
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Monday 20 October 2008