The Foreign Exchange market is a fast moving, fast changing environment wherein people can be wildly successful today and then lose it all the next day. It will all depend upon the way you deal with your investments and your trades. You would have to act fast and accurate as one false step can lead to disaster. Because of this extreme volatility it is best to be educated first about what the Foreign Exchange market is all about and some tips and secrets about it before investing.
One of my mentors, Jason Alan Jankovsky, says to Plan The Trade, Then Trade Your Plan. He teaches me his methodology, philosophy and approach to trading and I thank him very much. I truly believe without a proper approach and plan in place that you will be doomed to follow the millions of failed Forex traders out there (They fail for a reason, keep reading…)
Quality education and training is crucial before entering the world of Foreign Exchange. Also, Forex education is not only for the beginner, it is a continuous education that you will have to do as long as you trade because in order to become successful in trading you have to be properly trained and educated in technical, fundamental and automated trading.
Starting to trade in the Forex market is similar to starting up a new business, if you do not know the rules and the proper preparation before starting then chances are you will fail. Let me give you another example as to why a Forex Education is important. How many of these things would you try without any training?
- Sailing
- Flying an airplane
- Doing surgery on a patient
- Fighting for your country
No? You wouldn’t try any of those things and more without training? Then why would you try Forex without an education on proper preparation and methodology? You wouldn’t which is my exact point, find yourself a good Forex Training program. As in life, surround yourself with quality people to education you in Forex and you will increase your chances of success in this market. Make sure to do your due diligence because there are a lot of scams or training programs that will waste your time and money out there.
Matt Marrow is a Forex writer and trader. He is happy to be writing here on Ezine Articles in order to help prospective Forex newbies and veterans navigate these hostile Forex waters. One of his favorite sites that he personally authored is http://www.forexbrotherhood.net and he has a daily blog at http://www.forexfun.net
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Thursday 27 November 2008
The Forex market can lure the novice Forex trader into trading scenarios that appear very attractive at first glance but turn very quickly into a losing trade.
Many a Forex trader will relate to this experience:
- Price has been in a consolidation channel for one or two hours.
- You place an entry order to get taken in at the top or bottom of the channel.
- Within a few minutes your trade is in and within a few minutes more you are looking at a loss of -10 pips, then -15 pips, and then your stop gets taken out.
- Price hardly moved for hours but as soon as you got into a trade you were taken out within minutes for a loss leaving you bewildered and muttering, “What happened?”
In the early stages of gaining trading experience, it is good for the novice Forex trader to go by a checklist every time before entering a trade until certain habits become ingrained.
Just having a procedure in place that has to be executed before pulling the trigger on a trade can prevent the Forex trader from quickly entering a trade just because there are some sudden movements on the screen and the trader is worried about missing an opportunity.
Yes, disciplining oneself to take time and go through a checklist first may mean missing some good opportunities occasionally. On the other hand, it will prevent having losing trades frequently.
For a very cautious approach to trading the newer Forex trader can use this Failsafe Checklist to determine whether the potential trade setup is likely to be high probability or low probability.
FailSafe Checklist
Avoid Going Long If:
- There is negative divergence on MACD on the 4 hour, 1 hour, or 15 minute chart.
- MACD on the 4 hour or 1 hour chart is pointing down.
- Price is well above the Central Pivot Point for the day in a Sell Area. (For a free pivot point calculator go here: www.vitalstop.com/Forex/pivot-point-calculator-download.html)
- Price is below the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) on the 4 hour and 1 hour chart but above the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart. (With this setup on the 3 times frames price is bucking the overall trend and can turn against you at any time.)
- Price is above a Fibonacci 50, 62, or 79 retracement (calculated from the last high and low)
- Your stop is not below multiple layers of support such as a significant previous high or low, pivot point, or Fibonacci level.
Avoid Going Short If:
- There is positive divergence on MACD on the 4 hour, 1 hour, or 15 minute chart.
- MACD on the 4 hour or 1 hour chart is pointing up.
- Price is well below the Central Pivot Point for the day in a Buy Area.
- Price is above the 200 EMA on the 4 hour and 1 hour chart but below the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart.
- Price is below a Fibonacci 50, 62, or 79 retracement (calculated from the last high and low)
- Your stop is not above multiple layers of resistance such as a significant previous high or low, pivot point, or Fibonacci level.
The Most Important Lesson Of All
Implementing this Failsafe Checklist strategy may reduce the number of trades the Forex trader participates in. However, here an important lesson is learned - patience! Waiting for a high probability setup can make many demands on a Forex trader’s mental resources and emotional strength.
This is probably the most important lesson the new Forex trader will have to learn. Using a Failsafe Checklist like the one above can make the Forex trader slow down, engage in thorough analysis using the technical indicators available, and really start to make progress as a trader.
Why not print off the Failsafe Checklist and keep it beside the computer for consultation before pulling the trigger on any trade?
For additional tips on using the MACD indicator for safe trading click here:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/forex-strategy-MACD-save-anxiety.htm
The powerful 200 EMA strategy - easy for developing traders:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/200EMA-forex-strategy.htm
For a free pivot point calculator, Fibonacci calculator and the best free economic calendars click here:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/tools.html
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Thursday 27 November 2008
Starting to trade the Foreign Exchange Markets (Forex) can be a tempting enticement to contemplate when wishing to improve your financial position and fortunately there are many exceptional Forex online courses today that can help you accomplish this task. Education is the first step the majority of us take in which ever field we enter and continuous learning is the stepping stone to long term accomplishments in that discipline. The exact same principle can be applied to Forex trading. Actually, it is highly essential for the novice trader to have appropriate knowledge about the intricacies of the foreign exchange markets in order to avoid major economic disasters. The potential of the Forex market is tremendous with fortunes being made every day by individual traders. Unfortunately, the risk factor related to large funds disappearing quickly also exists. Lack of knowledge about how, when and where the system works could certainly make you one of the ninety five per cent of people that begin Forex trading that are NEVER able to make money.
There are hundreds, if not thousands of Forex trading courses that claim they can make your entry into this lucrative field smooth and hassle-free with good financial results. There are so many means available to learn the concepts of foreign exchange trading and its various angles that you will be overwhelmed with information when attempting to appraise them. The majority are based on one of or a combination of the following training methods; a selection of online trading books, an online one on one training class, an online seminar or a series of seminars, an online video program or an online trading tutorial. Online trading courses have specific advantages over other forms of media. First, the online courses are updated continuously as the market changes. Second, they are delivered to you in a timely fashion, in other words, when you are ready to learn they are ready to teach you. Finally, you can have access to the Forex training courses immediately.
Most of the Forex trading courses begin with the fundamentals of currency trading, its various terminologies, definitions etc., in order to prepare you for the more advanced topics. In the next stage of the programs they will begin discussing specific Forex trading strategies, Forex trading signals and where to find them and how they are interpreted, Forex day trading for profit and so many more advanced concepts that they to numerous to even attempt to mention.
Learning to profitably trade the Forex markets has never been as easy as it is today. There are so many outstanding training programs that your biggest problem won’t be finding them, but it will be evaluating each course and determining which is offering the best value for your hard earned money.
William R. Alheim, Jr., CPA, MA - for reviews of the TOP 10 Forex Trading Courses visit http://www.tradingforexreviews.com/
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Wednesday 26 November 2008
Forex Autopilot reviews will say that it`s the best, website reviews will tell you it`s awesome. But really, is Forex Killer all that it`s made out to be? In recent times it has become one of the three “big boys” in automated Forex trading software for the newbie. The other two leaders are Killer and Tracer. And, naturally, the creators of this program say that it`s brilliant, but don`t they just want to sell it to you?
Truth be told, this little program does give results, but it is wise to get into currency trading with a knowledge of all the common problems etc. If you enter the world of Forex knowing nothing, you can be burned. Try stay away from common pit-falls such as:
Don`t expect the software to do everything. While Forex Autopilot is automated it WON`T do everything, it still needs the human touch. You won`t have to watch it all the time, but you will have to exercise good monetary decision-making to reap good profits from it. It`s proven success rate is around 85%, that`s pretty impressive. Educate yourself about the markets a little more and you`ll see better results, the guru`s won`t tell you this in their Forex Autopilot reviews..
You WILL get a losing trade. But, this software will greatly increase your chances of having a winning trade. Winning trades are often 4x the size of losing ones, so they often make up for them. To be blunt (sorry), if you want something with no-risk then you should not be trading using Forex, rather make a living growing strawberries. BUT, the rewards from being successful while trading currency with this system far outweigh even a decent salary!
No matter what other Forex Autopilot reviews say, you won`t become a millionaire overnight. This is a legitimate online business opportunity, and as such, has the potential to bring in an excellent salary in a few months if used properly.
Forex Autopilot is a class-leading auto trading software. The world of Forex has been revolutionized by these automated trading platforms. When choosing the right one to purchase, the choices can be difficult. We’ve made it easier for you by reviewing the top four at ForexAutoTradingReviews.
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Monday 24 November 2008
I would like to present six major parameters of a trading system that you can use to judge their performance in live trading. Backtest your system and look for the following:
1. Maximum value of losses you get during the test of your system. Avoid any system that gives significant drawdown in a single trade, for example 20% of your trading account.
2. The maximum value of profit you get in a single trade. If there is one trade that gave you profit that greatly exceeds the average profitability of the system exclude such a trade. Probably that was just a coincidence. The maximum loss can also be a coincidence but you cannot exclude it since it can be fatal to your account.
3. The next value is the average profit to loss ratio per trade. By average I mean the sum of all the profit divided by number of profitable trades. The average loss is sum of all losses divided by the number of losing trades. You want this parameter to be around 2:1. It actually can be smaller.
4. Win to lose ratio is your next parameter. It is the ratio of total number of profitable trades to the number of losing trades. If you have profit to loss ratio 2:1 then win to lose ratio can be 40% and you can still make money with this system. Usually win to lose ratio rarely exceeds 60%, even though there can be some exceptions. I would like to emphasize that these parameters are for pure mechanical systems when trades are executed based on formal signals of a trading system. For an advanced trader who takes discretionary trades this parameter becomes more individual.
5. The maximum number of consecutive winning trades and maximum number of consecutive losing trades are our next parameters. I explain why these numbers are important. When we start trading the system and number of winning trades approaches the maximum we will expect a losing trade. Knowing these parameters will allow us to avoid overtrading by increasing our lot size because of euphoria from a winning streak. If the number of losing trades exceeds the maximum number then it’s a sign that market conditions are changing and we need to adjust and test the system again.
6. The frequency of signal generation. High frequency will require executing trades very often. That can lead to discomfort and nervousness. On the other hand low frequency will lead to low profitability of the system. Which one you chose depends entirely on your personal preferences.
Based on these six parameters you can test trading systems and pick the one that suits your personality.
Albert Schmidt is a part-time currency trader. After quite a long time of struggle he learned to make consistent profit trading in Forex. Review a trading strategy he successfully uses in his trading Forex.
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Saturday 22 November 2008
Fibonacci can be a very valuable addition to the tools in your Forex strategy, even if you are a reasonably new trader. Experiment with the guidelines below and learn to do the Fibonacci two-step. The level of success with this tool is quite amazing.
Fibonacci levels indicate more often than not how far price is going to go before it stalls and pulls back. It also provides a number of levels where price can pull back or retrace before moving on in the direction of the trend.
The Levels
The 4 most common retracement levels are (figures rounded off):
- 38%
- 50%
- 62%
- 79%
The two most common extension levels are:
- 1.27%
- 1.62%
Using the Fibonacci tool that comes with most charting packages, simply drag the tool from the most recent swing high/low to the previous swing/high or low and take special note of the 50% retracement level.
The Two-Step Strategy
In a nutshell, the Fibonacci Two-Step means you set an entry order to be pulled in if and when price touches the Fib50% retracement level, and you set your target at the Fib1.27% extension level.
However, for these trades to be high probability with minimal risk a couple quick calculations are necessary.
What is your stop value? 25-30 pips? If it’s more can your equity cover it if you lose the trade? For many traders 25-30 pips is a reasonable stop.
So before entering the trade, measure the distance between the Fib50% retracement level, your possible entry point, and the Fib79% retracement or even the 100% level. If it is more than 25-30 pips, pass on the trade. The risk is too great. If price pulls back further than the Fib50% level even all the way back to the last swing high/low, you will be in trouble.
However, if the Fib79% or 100% level are within 25-30 pips of your entry at Fib50%, you have a possible trade.
Now calculate how many pips from Fib50% to the extension at Fib127% - this will be your profit ratio. Supposing your stop is set at 25 pips, perhaps somewhere between the Fib79% retracement level and the swing point, and your target at the Fib127% extension is 36 pips, that’s a good risk/reward ratio! You are risking 25 pips to get 36.
It is often advisable to set your target 3 or 4 pips above the Fib127% level as sometimes price doesn’t quite make it before it pulls back.
Use this strategy in line with your other indicators and trade in the direction of the trend for minimal risk.
The Secret Of The Two-Step Strategy
Why is this strategy so successful? Because it’s not too ambitious.
Price will often pull back to the Fib50% level and no further. It will often go to the Fib127 and no further. So using these two levels puts one on middle ground with a higher chance of getting taken into the trade with the target successfully met.
So if you are looking to improve your Forex strategy, remember the Fibonacci Two-Step - In at Fib50 - Out at Fib127 - and dance all the way to the bank.
For an illustrated example of the Fibonacci Two-Step click here:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/two-step.html
For a free Fibonacci calculator plus a pivot point calculator and the best free economic calendars click here:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/tools.html
For a free candle & chart pattern recognition reference tool click here:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Candle-Chart-Patterns
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Friday 21 November 2008
The arena of trading is a fantastic one in itself. It has to be the largest business on the planet. Thousands upon thousands of eyes are glued to the screens around the world, waiting to buy or sell at any given moment.
As I have said before, I like to use analogies when it comes to trading successfully. This is due to the feedback I have gotten from students and traders, who have said they ‘got it.’ Here goes.
Trading breakouts and crossovers are like arriving to a party late. Allow me to explain.
In my single days, I had a buddy I would go out with occasionally. Today, such a person would be called a ‘wingman.’ However, we would often clash, because he would insist on arriving a parties early. I came from the school where there was such thing as being “fashionably late,” so this was different. This changed when he told me his reasoning.
By getting to the party early, there was usually little, if any, fee to get in. Free parking was usually easier to find, whereas later, Valet parking was the only option. Upon entering, food was prevalent, and most importantly, he had the ability to find a strategic seat to see and be seen. Because of this, he always appeared comfortable, and at ease. He did extremely well, for he was always chatting and holding court.
I use this analogy because trading breakouts and crossovers are like arriving to a party late.
Most traders have been taught to trade breakouts and crossovers exclusively, going with ‘the momentum.’ But what does this say? It says that at the price turnaround, the trader did not have the ability to read this and climb on board. The movement started a long time ago. Trading breakouts is arriving ‘late,’ and does not offer the best risk vs. reward, an essential component to successful trading. This can be avoided if and only if a trader develops core skills in reading bar charts in the manner a musician reads musical notes.
Each and every bar on the chart has a meaning. Not just a definition, but a meaning. A meaning in terms of supply and demand.
When we learned to read words, we first learned the meaning of each letter. When one learned to play chess, each chess piece had a meaning. So is it in reading charts. Sadly, most traders have not learned this vital skill set. Learn this and trading becomes exciting.
Eleazar Heracleopolis, http://www.www.nextbartrading.com is a veteran futures trader, writer and teacher of how to determine the imbalances of supply and demand using Price Spread Volume (PSV) Analysis.
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Thursday 20 November 2008
With financial markets in turmoil, press is full of speculation regarding US dollar and Euro. A lot of coverage is given to unprecedented commodities boom, especially record prices for oil and grains. Precious and industrial metals also draw a lot of attention. Credit and debt markets have been on front pages for a couple of years now. Let’s not forget about stock markets, which, both in US and globally, are experiencing wild swings with seemingly no end in sight.
With so much going on, it’s no wonder that some very large moves in currencies have escaped attention, or at least wide coverage. British Pound, for one, has not been mentioned as often as it deserves. Same goes to Swiss Franc, and by extension, the cross of these two currencies, GBP-CHF.
Despite being one of speculator’s favorite financial vehicle, this pair seems to be living in a shadow of it’s cousin, GBP-JPY, which gets far more coverage from Forex analysts. This fact is likely due to much more vaunted stature of Japanese Yen, while Swiss Franc is so much correlated to Euro, that has been loosing trading volume to other currencies, most notably both Australian and Canadian Dollars. By some accounts, even Swedish Krone has reached comparable trading volume about a year ago.
That is when Franc started to regain some of its past luster as a safe heaven during times of uncertainty and financial turmoil. Swiss central bank started to bust interest rates and CHF staged a very impressive rally, lasting better part of a year. Combined with bearish news coming from Great Brittan, GBP-CHF has seen the most severe sell off amongst CHF crosses.
Between July 2007 and March 2008 this pair fell from 2.5000 to 1.9375. That is a staggering 5600+ pips, a huge move by any standard. In fact, it has been first time in over 10 years, and only the second time ever, that this cross fell under 2.0000, a very important psychological level. As it is often the case in such furious moves, the price rebounded sharply from the March low to about 2.0960 and has since settled into a sideways movement.
This “settled price action” is a relative term and true only in light of past few month. Comparing to other currency pairs, daily moves are still large. Average True Range still shows a reading well over 200, and 300+ pips days are the norm. Just last Thursday daily range was over 420 pips. Certainly this kind of volatility demands respect and creates trading opportunities.
Extreme price fluctuations might make it unsuitable for some traders. Also, trading GBP-CHF on short time frames, might be an expensive proposition. The spread, cost of trading, is still relatively wide. Even though over last few years spreads narrowed down, they are still minimum of 6 pips, with 8-10 pips being the norm. In frequent trading, even the larger profit potential might not offset these costs.
Trading longer time frames might be a better proposition for most traders. The recent low of 1.9375 seems to be a major low, which is likely hold for the the rest of this year. As a matter of fact, patterns on long term charts, weekly and monthly, indicate this to be a multi year low. Long term up trend is expected for the rest of the year with a target of 2.1600-2.1800 over next few months. After that next target would be 2.3000 or perhaps even 2.3500, maybe a year later.
This kind of long term expectations should be reviewed and adjusted every few months. As of this writing, the price is around 2.0470, providing us with a substantial long term trading opportunity. Due to large volatility of this pair, one shouldn’t use high leverage as there are almost sure to be severe pullbacks over time. While not suitable for everybody, GBP-CHF is certainly an exciting cross, worth of a closer look.
Mike P. Kulej is a Chief Forex Strategist for Spectrum Forex LLC. He specializes in mechanical trading systems as explained on http://www.spectrumforex.com Spectrum Forex LLC offers numerous services to individual traders. With questions and comments e-mail him at kulej@spectrumforex.com
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Wednesday 19 November 2008
This product may be suitable for you if you want to make profits on the stock market without facing the high risks associated with stock strading. You may also enjoy a more diversified trading portfolio. This can be accomplished with trading on the forex market. When contemplating trading on this market, it is crucial that you learn forex.
There are tons of places on the web that you can learn forex. Dozens of automatic programs are available to perform the whole task so you don’t have to. This product offers plug-and-play compatibility, just set it in and start receiving signals. These systems are supposed to provide market indicators for buying and selling at any time.
With so many different options available to you, the thought of learning Forex may seem a bit daunting. The tutorials will teach you how to use the software, but they leave you completely ignorant as to the actual mechanics of trading. Entering digits into a piece of equipment only demonstrates your ability at button pushing. Understanding the indicators provides proof that a machine can reason in your place.
Regardless of what others say, you must learn Forex in order to achieve optimal results. You will need to know about interest rates and the current economic data if you intend to learn forex. You want to make things different, try a different pattern. Comprehending and realizing what interest rates and inflation are about can enable you to earn revenue using Forex.
When you are ready to learn forex it is important to consider that most automated systems are not current with the latest market indicators. You must be willing to go against the grain if you desire to learn Forex. Don’t cut mental corners when educating yourself about forex trading; it is important to learn all the details. It is important that you research and take the time required to understand the market.
It is important to be aware of factors that influence the market. Different currencies from all over the world are utilized and you must know how to compare them. In order to learn forex quickler you will need to know how to compare different currencies to determine the best value. A big help in learning forex that can help people out pretty easily, is watching market trends as the progress up or down. We can predict much about the future of currency by first looking at the history of currency.
While the automated system can do much of the work for you, you will have to use the tutorial to learn forex on your own. Using practice accounts can be very useful in figuring when to buy and sell. You’ll not only learn from your mistakes, but enjoy your victories while you observe the balance grow in your mock accounts. It will take awhile to become familiar with forex and in some cases you will need to learn as you go.
Tony is an avid Forex Trader who Trades for a Very Good Living from Forex. Here is a new site he’s building http://www.forexsecretsrevealed.org
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Wednesday 19 November 2008
The Forex market is the biggest market on the planet. Each day over 2 trillion dollars exchange hands in this market which operates around the clock without any breaks. It is also a highly volatile market in which even the slightest shift can mean a huge profit or loss.
Since the Forex market is so volatile and complex, it is nearly impossible to keep track of it without the help of a dedicated Forex trading software. You simply cannot compete against the other traders which have them. That’s why 50% of the people lose all their money on this market while only a few become rich: the rich let softwares do much of the work for them.
An automatic Forex trading software is really a must in order to succeed in this market because it can do the following things for you:
- Recognize trends and act on them quickly
- Work around the clock trading for you even while you sleep
- Make split second decisions much faster than any human can
- Analyze the various markets around the world and quickly shift your money around to make the maximum profit
- Beat other traders to the best deals by being able to spot opportunities automatically
- Trade in several markets together
- Shorten your learning curve so that even if you’re a novice, you’d still be making a lot of money.
But the best reason to get your hands on an automated Forex trading software is that it can make much more money for you because it works on sound mathematical models and doesn’t make stupid mistakes which every person does. Every financial institution in the world has trading softwares. Now, there are at least 2 excellent softwares you can work with from your home and still make very big profits.
I truly believe that trading without an automatic Forex trading software is a mistake which can lead to losses. Get a trading software, see how it works, and then start making money with it.
To read more about Forex trading softwares, click here: Automatic Forex Trading Software. John Drummond works from home. He writes often on business, trading, and finances. There is more than one forex trading software. To read John Drummond’s review of the 2 best ones, click here: Automatic Currency Trading Software.
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Tuesday 18 November 2008