The Forex market can lure the novice Forex trader into trading scenarios that appear very attractive at first glance but turn very quickly into a losing trade.

Many a Forex trader will relate to this experience:

• Price has been in a consolidation channel for one or two hours.
• You place an entry order to get taken in at the top or bottom of the channel.
• Within a few minutes your trade is in and within a few minutes more you are looking at a loss of -10 pips, then -15 pips, and then your stop gets taken out.
• Price hardly moved for hours but as soon as you got into a trade you were taken out within minutes for a loss leaving you bewildered and muttering, “What happened?”

In the early stages of gaining trading experience, it is good for the novice Forex trader to go by a checklist every time before entering a trade until certain habits become ingrained.

Just having a procedure in place that has to be executed before pulling the trigger on a trade can prevent the Forex trader from quickly entering a trade just because there are some sudden movements on the screen and the trader is worried about missing an opportunity.

Yes, disciplining oneself to take time and go through a checklist first may mean missing some good opportunities occasionally. On the other hand, it will prevent having losing trades frequently.

For a very cautious approach to trading the newer Forex trader can use this Failsafe Checklist to determine whether the potential trade setup is likely to be high probability or low probability.

FailSafe Checklist

Avoid Going Long If:

• There is negative divergence on MACD on the 4 hour, 1 hour, or 15 minute chart.
• MACD on the 4 hour or 1 hour chart is pointing down.
• Price is well above the Central Pivot Point for the day in a Sell Area. (For a free pivot point calculator go here: www.vitalstop.com/Forex/pivot-point-calculator-download.html)
• Price is below the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) on the 4 hour and 1 hour chart but above the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart. (With this setup on the 3 times frames price is bucking the overall trend and can turn against you at any time.)
• Price is above a Fibonacci 50, 62, or 79 retracement (calculated from the last high and low)
• Your stop is not below multiple layers of support such as a significant previous high or low, pivot point, or Fibonacci level.

Avoid Going Short If:

• There is positive divergence on MACD on the 4 hour, 1 hour, or 15 minute chart.
• MACD on the 4 hour or 1 hour chart is pointing up.
• Price is well below the Central Pivot Point for the day in a Buy Area.
• Price is above the 200 EMA on the 4 hour and 1 hour chart but below the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart.
• Price is below a Fibonacci 50, 62, or 79 retracement (calculated from the last high and low)
• Your stop is not above multiple layers of resistance such as a significant previous high or low, pivot point, or Fibonacci level.

The Most Important Lesson Of All

Implementing this Failsafe Checklist strategy may reduce the number of trades the Forex trader participates in. However, here an important lesson is learned - patience! Waiting for a high probability setup can make many demands on a Forex trader’s mental resources and emotional strength.

This is probably the most important lesson the new Forex trader will have to learn. Using a Failsafe Checklist like the one above can make the Forex trader slow down, engage in thorough analysis using the technical indicators available, and really start to make progress as a trader.

Why not print off the Failsafe Checklist and keep it beside the computer for consultation before pulling the trigger on any trade?

For additional tips on using the MACD indicator for safe trading click here:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/forex-strategy-MACD-save-anxiety.htm

The powerful 200 EMA strategy - easy for developing traders:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/200EMA-forex-strategy.htm

For a free pivot point calculator, Fibonacci calculator and the best free economic calendars click here:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/tools.html

Starting to trade the Foreign Exchange Markets (Forex) can be a tempting enticement to contemplate when wishing to improve your financial position and fortunately there are many exceptional Forex online courses today that can help you accomplish this task. Education is the first step the majority of us take in which ever field we enter and continuous learning is the stepping stone to long term accomplishments in that discipline. The exact same principle can be applied to Forex trading. Actually, it is highly essential for the novice trader to have appropriate knowledge about the intricacies of the foreign exchange markets in order to avoid major economic disasters. The potential of the Forex market is tremendous with fortunes being made every day by individual traders. Unfortunately, the risk factor related to large funds disappearing quickly also exists. Lack of knowledge about how, when and where the system works could certainly make you one of the ninety five per cent of people that begin Forex trading that are NEVER able to make money.

There are hundreds, if not thousands of Forex trading courses that claim they can make your entry into this lucrative field smooth and hassle-free with good financial results. There are so many means available to learn the concepts of foreign exchange trading and its various angles that you will be overwhelmed with information when attempting to appraise them. The majority are based on one of or a combination of the following training methods; a selection of online trading books, an online one on one training class, an online seminar or a series of seminars, an online video program or an online trading tutorial. Online trading courses have specific advantages over other forms of media. First, the online courses are updated continuously as the market changes. Second, they are delivered to you in a timely fashion, in other words, when you are ready to learn they are ready to teach you. Finally, you can have access to the Forex training courses immediately.

Most of the Forex trading courses begin with the fundamentals of currency trading, its various terminologies, definitions etc., in order to prepare you for the more advanced topics. In the next stage of the programs they will begin discussing specific Forex trading strategies, Forex trading signals and where to find them and how they are interpreted, Forex day trading for profit and so many more advanced concepts that they to numerous to even attempt to mention.

Learning to profitably trade the Forex markets has never been as easy as it is today. There are so many outstanding training programs that your biggest problem won’t be finding them, but it will be evaluating each course and determining which is offering the best value for your hard earned money.

William R. Alheim, Jr., CPA, MA - for reviews of the TOP 10 Forex Trading Courses visit http://www.tradingforexreviews.com/

I’m here to give you the top forex trader advice that I use everyday when I do my trades. These are tips to help the trader become better and more efficient at making trades.

When should I trade?

You should trade during peak hours. This is the time when most people trade, so there is the highest volume. I know when it comes to business, people usually suggest to not follow the crowd, but I’ll explain in this case. There is such a high volume of trades, the currencies really do follow market forces or “the invisible hand”. During the lower volume times (off peak hours) big banks and firms with a lot of money can make trades that affect the direction of the market. The last thing you want to do is trade at this time because they can make a currency go up or down, which is very unstable for you.

I don’t seem to be making much on my profitable trades, and I seem to lose more when I make bad trades. Why?

Well, skill could very well be the problem. Assuming you’re a good trader, than you probably have poor margins to make profits. Basically your broker needs to be paid for trades, and they take a cut, which is the difference between bid and ask prices. As you know, the broker is going to get paid no matter what, so your losses are often worse and your profits are often small. All you need to do is make larger trades that are for more money. This reduces the percentage taken by the broker and you should notice that your profits will be more and losses should be less(as a percentage).

What do I do when I make a bad trade?

Just cut your losses. This is probably one of the most simple rules you could take in, but most people have a hard time with it. Just sell it and move on.

This is my top forex trader advice and I hope this makes you into a great trader.

I’m currently giving a 7 day free forex training course. Newbies and experienced are all welcome. If you’re interested in participating, check out the Casual Forex Trader.

I would like to present six major parameters of a trading system that you can use to judge their performance in live trading. Backtest your system and look for the following:

1. Maximum value of losses you get during the test of your system. Avoid any system that gives significant drawdown in a single trade, for example 20% of your trading account.

2. The maximum value of profit you get in a single trade. If there is one trade that gave you profit that greatly exceeds the average profitability of the system exclude such a trade. Probably that was just a coincidence. The maximum loss can also be a coincidence but you cannot exclude it since it can be fatal to your account.

3. The next value is the average profit to loss ratio per trade. By average I mean the sum of all the profit divided by number of profitable trades. The average loss is sum of all losses divided by the number of losing trades. You want this parameter to be around 2:1. It actually can be smaller.

4. Win to lose ratio is your next parameter. It is the ratio of total number of profitable trades to the number of losing trades. If you have profit to loss ratio 2:1 then win to lose ratio can be 40% and you can still make money with this system. Usually win to lose ratio rarely exceeds 60%, even though there can be some exceptions. I would like to emphasize that these parameters are for pure mechanical systems when trades are executed based on formal signals of a trading system. For an advanced trader who takes discretionary trades this parameter becomes more individual.

5. The maximum number of consecutive winning trades and maximum number of consecutive losing trades are our next parameters. I explain why these numbers are important. When we start trading the system and number of winning trades approaches the maximum we will expect a losing trade. Knowing these parameters will allow us to avoid overtrading by increasing our lot size because of euphoria from a winning streak. If the number of losing trades exceeds the maximum number then it’s a sign that market conditions are changing and we need to adjust and test the system again.

6. The frequency of signal generation. High frequency will require executing trades very often. That can lead to discomfort and nervousness. On the other hand low frequency will lead to low profitability of the system. Which one you chose depends entirely on your personal preferences.

Based on these six parameters you can test trading systems and pick the one that suits your personality.

Albert Schmidt is a part-time currency trader. After quite a long time of struggle he learned to make consistent profit trading in Forex. Review a trading strategy he successfully uses in his trading Forex.

Fibonacci can be a very valuable addition to the tools in your Forex strategy, even if you are a reasonably new trader. Experiment with the guidelines below and learn to do the Fibonacci two-step. The level of success with this tool is quite amazing.

Fibonacci levels indicate more often than not how far price is going to go before it stalls and pulls back. It also provides a number of levels where price can pull back or retrace before moving on in the direction of the trend.

The Levels

The 4 most common retracement levels are (figures rounded off):

1. 38%
2. 50%
3. 62%
4. 79%

The two most common extension levels are:

1. 1.27%
2. 1.62%

Using the Fibonacci tool that comes with most charting packages, simply drag the tool from the most recent swing high/low to the previous swing/high or low and take special note of the 50% retracement level.

The Two-Step Strategy

In a nutshell, the Fibonacci Two-Step means you set an entry order to be pulled in if and when price touches the Fib50% retracement level, and you set your target at the Fib1.27% extension level.

However, for these trades to be high probability with minimal risk a couple quick calculations are necessary.

What is your stop value? 25-30 pips? If it’s more can your equity cover it if you lose the trade? For many traders 25-30 pips is a reasonable stop.

So before entering the trade, measure the distance between the Fib50% retracement level, your possible entry point, and the Fib79% retracement or even the 100% level. If it is more than 25-30 pips, pass on the trade. The risk is too great. If price pulls back further than the Fib50% level even all the way back to the last swing high/low, you will be in trouble.

However, if the Fib79% or 100% level are within 25-30 pips of your entry at Fib50%, you have a possible trade.

Now calculate how many pips from Fib50% to the extension at Fib127% - this will be your profit ratio. Supposing your stop is set at 25 pips, perhaps somewhere between the Fib79% retracement level and the swing point, and your target at the Fib127% extension is 36 pips, that’s a good risk/reward ratio! You are risking 25 pips to get 36.

It is often advisable to set your target 3 or 4 pips above the Fib127% level as sometimes price doesn’t quite make it before it pulls back.

Use this strategy in line with your other indicators and trade in the direction of the trend for minimal risk.

The Secret Of The Two-Step Strategy

Why is this strategy so successful? Because it’s not too ambitious.

Price will often pull back to the Fib50% level and no further. It will often go to the Fib127 and no further. So using these two levels puts one on middle ground with a higher chance of getting taken into the trade with the target successfully met.

So if you are looking to improve your Forex strategy, remember the Fibonacci Two-Step - In at Fib50 - Out at Fib127 - and dance all the way to the bank.

For an illustrated example of the Fibonacci Two-Step click here:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/two-step.html

For a free Fibonacci calculator plus a pivot point calculator and the best free economic calendars click here:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/tools.html

For a free candle & chart pattern recognition reference tool click here:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Candle-Chart-Patterns

The arena of trading is a fantastic one in itself. It has to be the largest business on the planet. Thousands upon thousands of eyes are glued to the screens around the world, waiting to buy or sell at any given moment.

As I have said before, I like to use analogies when it comes to trading successfully. This is due to the feedback I have gotten from students and traders, who have said they ‘got it.’ Here goes.

Trading breakouts and crossovers are like arriving to a party late. Allow me to explain.

In my single days, I had a buddy I would go out with occasionally. Today, such a person would be called a ‘wingman.’ However, we would often clash, because he would insist on arriving a parties early. I came from the school where there was such thing as being “fashionably late,” so this was different. This changed when he told me his reasoning.

By getting to the party early, there was usually little, if any, fee to get in. Free parking was usually easier to find, whereas later, Valet parking was the only option. Upon entering, food was prevalent, and most importantly, he had the ability to find a strategic seat to see and be seen. Because of this, he always appeared comfortable, and at ease. He did extremely well, for he was always chatting and holding court.

I use this analogy because trading breakouts and crossovers are like arriving to a party late.

Most traders have been taught to trade breakouts and crossovers exclusively, going with ‘the momentum.’ But what does this say? It says that at the price turnaround, the trader did not have the ability to read this and climb on board. The movement started a long time ago. Trading breakouts is arriving ‘late,’ and does not offer the best risk vs. reward, an essential component to successful trading. This can be avoided if and only if a trader develops core skills in reading bar charts in the manner a musician reads musical notes.

Each and every bar on the chart has a meaning. Not just a definition, but a meaning. A meaning in terms of supply and demand.

When we learned to read words, we first learned the meaning of each letter. When one learned to play chess, each chess piece had a meaning. So is it in reading charts. Sadly, most traders have not learned this vital skill set. Learn this and trading becomes exciting.

Eleazar Heracleopolis, http://www.www.nextbartrading.com is a veteran futures trader, writer and teacher of how to determine the imbalances of supply and demand using Price Spread Volume (PSV) Analysis.

So many potentially good traders can easily be put off from the outset, because they failed to follow three main rules when they started out. Losing money is result, and the most common problem is ignorance, or at least lack of proper knowledge.

It’s not essentially their fault, because there’s so much available to temp people into trading quickly and easily. Not that it need to be difficult, but you have to follow the rules. Wander from them at your peril, but stick to them and you should find yourself enjoying trading either as a hobby, or full time, if that’s your desire.

Here are 3 essential things you must grasp before you can trade profitably:

1. Your Stop Loss order is crucial. It is the closest thing you have to an insurance policy that ensures your account is not wiped out. And lose money you will. There’s nothing that can be guaranteed in trading the stock market except that you will take hits. But employ a stop loss order and you can rest easy that your losses are kept to a minimum and that you have traded well.

2. Over trading. I think you’d be very unwise to place any more than 5 percent of you trading budget on any trade. Don’t open more than one position when you start either, and look for those trades with more gentle personalities. The FTSE 250 is a good place to look for such trades because they have movement but without the volatility of say, the Forex market. Unfortunately my introduction to trading was by virtue of the commodities market - it all but wiped me out.

3. Emotion will play a huge part in trying to wipe out you account too. It gallops in under two guises - greed and fear. It is crucial you harness and control them and you do this by taking the time to learn a good trading system that you’re comfortable with. It’s about learning a trading plan and then sticking to it until you’re more experienced. I won’t say confident because that could trip you up in the form of greed. Keep greed and fear far behind you, where they belong.

By getting to grips with these three important points, you will better equip yourself for a far better trading experience. Every good trader will tell you to that you focus should be to cut your losses and let your profits run.

How would you like to discover more about the techniques successful traders use to make profitable trades?

Download them free here: Day Trading Course

Ian Jackson is an authority on Day Trading information, learning the hard way - and now he reveals how you can learn the business too, without all the growing pains.

With financial markets in turmoil, press is full of speculation regarding US dollar and Euro. A lot of coverage is given to unprecedented commodities boom, especially record prices for oil and grains. Precious and industrial metals also draw a lot of attention. Credit and debt markets have been on front pages for a couple of years now. Let’s not forget about stock markets, which, both in US and globally, are experiencing wild swings with seemingly no end in sight.

With so much going on, it’s no wonder that some very large moves in currencies have escaped attention, or at least wide coverage. British Pound, for one, has not been mentioned as often as it deserves. Same goes to Swiss Franc, and by extension, the cross of these two currencies, GBP-CHF.

Despite being one of speculator’s favorite financial vehicle, this pair seems to be living in a shadow of it’s cousin, GBP-JPY, which gets far more coverage from Forex analysts. This fact is likely due to much more vaunted stature of Japanese Yen, while Swiss Franc is so much correlated to Euro, that has been loosing trading volume to other currencies, most notably both Australian and Canadian Dollars. By some accounts, even Swedish Krone has reached comparable trading volume about a year ago.

That is when Franc started to regain some of its past luster as a safe heaven during times of uncertainty and financial turmoil. Swiss central bank started to bust interest rates and CHF staged a very impressive rally, lasting better part of a year. Combined with bearish news coming from Great Brittan, GBP-CHF has seen the most severe sell off amongst CHF crosses.

Between July 2007 and March 2008 this pair fell from 2.5000 to 1.9375. That is a staggering 5600+ pips, a huge move by any standard. In fact, it has been first time in over 10 years, and only the second time ever, that this cross fell under 2.0000, a very important psychological level. As it is often the case in such furious moves, the price rebounded sharply from the March low to about 2.0960 and has since settled into a sideways movement.

This “settled price action” is a relative term and true only in light of past few month. Comparing to other currency pairs, daily moves are still large. Average True Range still shows a reading well over 200, and 300+ pips days are the norm. Just last Thursday daily range was over 420 pips. Certainly this kind of volatility demands respect and creates trading opportunities.

Extreme price fluctuations might make it unsuitable for some traders. Also, trading GBP-CHF on short time frames, might be an expensive proposition. The spread, cost of trading, is still relatively wide. Even though over last few years spreads narrowed down, they are still minimum of 6 pips, with 8-10 pips being the norm. In frequent trading, even the larger profit potential might not offset these costs.

Trading longer time frames might be a better proposition for most traders. The recent low of 1.9375 seems to be a major low, which is likely hold for the the rest of this year. As a matter of fact, patterns on long term charts, weekly and monthly, indicate this to be a multi year low. Long term up trend is expected for the rest of the year with a target of 2.1600-2.1800 over next few months. After that next target would be 2.3000 or perhaps even 2.3500, maybe a year later.

This kind of long term expectations should be reviewed and adjusted every few months. As of this writing, the price is around 2.0470, providing us with a substantial long term trading opportunity. Due to large volatility of this pair, one shouldn’t use high leverage as there are almost sure to be severe pullbacks over time. While not suitable for everybody, GBP-CHF is certainly an exciting cross, worth of a closer look.

Mike P. Kulej is a Chief Forex Strategist for Spectrum Forex LLC. He specializes in mechanical trading systems as explained on http://www.spectrumforex.com Spectrum Forex LLC offers numerous services to individual traders. With questions and comments e-mail him at kulej@spectrumforex.com

Forex Assassin system just came out few days back and experts are already talking about it. I am sure you must have heard of this system already. Also, you must have heard of a formula that this system contains that helps identify the trade. Many of you might be thinking - Is Forex Assassin really that good as what experts are saying?

Lets look at the this system -

What kind of System is Forex Assassin?

Each forex trading system consists of a trading strategy of a particular category. The primary categories of Trading strategies are -

1. Fundamental analysis based - These kind of systems focus on making pips using fundamental news such as NFP (Non Farm payroll) etc.

2. Technical Analysis based - Most of the systems fall in this category where the trades are made using the technical indicators. There are tons of technical indicators such as Fibonacci, EMAs, candles, MACD etc.

3. Price Driven - Forex Assassin system falls in this category. These systems are based on the theory that particular kind of price movement influence the market to move in a particular way.

What is the Forex Assassin Formula?

This system primarily is based on a formula. This formula recommends the entry and exit points for the next trades to be made based on current price information of the currency pair. Since the formula makes the calculations, this frees up the time of the traders since they don’t have to continuously watch the charts. Due to this, the identification of the trades is matter of just minutes because of this formula.

Is Forex Assassin costly?

Typically, from my observation I have found that all the forex trading systems come for a standard price of $97. So does this system. I guess, $97 has become more of a market standard. There are few systems that come for even 1000s of Dollars, but they are DVD based courses. Considering this point, this system is more in line with Market price. Just to mention here, my suggestions is that when you think about buying a system, pay $97 only to the systems you know that have good reviews.

Should you buy Forex assassin?

Here is the thing. Before buying any system, find out what is its review ( Find here Forex Assassin review and experiences).

However, the first important thing is that you should buy a system only when you are planning to use it. I have known people who just buy a trading strategy, but they hardly open it and use it. If you are planning on doing the same, Don’t buy any system to throw away your money!

So, here was my review. In all, the system looks to be fine so far. I really like the part where it saves a lot of time because of the formula it contains. Use the information mentioned here to make decision about Forex Assassin.

If you want to know my experience with Forex Assassin system, please click on this link Forex Assassin review.

Options are contracts on an underlying trading instrument such as shares of stock, bonds, a commodity, a mortgage loan and many others. However, there are common features among all options. It does not matter if it is a share of stock or a mortgage loan; they all have certain things in common. One such commonality is the contract feature that specifies what the option owner has actually contracted.

Options traders have two situations that may influence their buying and selling: calls and puts. There terms are used to indicate specific behaviors of options at various points of the option’s life.

CALLs

A call bestows on the contract holder the right to purchase an asset at a particular price on or before the option’s expiration date. This is only a right to buy, it is not an obligation. The call owner always has the choice to allow the option to expire. This does mean that all the initial money that was invested in purchasing the contract is lost, but the choice still stands.

Call buyers are gambling on the underlying asset’s behavior; that it will increase in price before it reaches its expiration date. Also that it will not only rise, but will rise significantly enough to show a profit.

In order to show a profit, the price must rise enough to cover the difference between the market price and the strike price. The strike price is that price at which the stock must be bought. But, because the option has a cost attached to it, the price must exceed that amount enough to cover the additional amount. This cost is referred to as the premium.

The premium of an option, whether call or put, is determined by a variety of elements. These include, but are not limited to, the price of the underlying asset, the strike price and the time remaining on the option.

The time remaining on an option is vital. The shorter the time remaining, the greater the risk and vice versa. For example, if there are 90 days left to exercise an option, the risk is somewhat lower than if there was only 1 day left. This is because within that 90 day period the price could rise enough to show a profit. With just 1 day remaining, however, the odds are considerably lower.

For example, on April 1, MSFT (Microsoft) has a market price of $27. Call options for June 30 are selling for $3 with a strike price of $30. One contract for 100 shares is purchased.

If the contract is held until the expiration date, the trader either loses $300 ($3 X 100, the initial price of the contract not including commission) or the trader can purchase the underlying stock at $30. If the current market price was $35, then the trader has profited by $200 ($35 - ($30 + $3) = $2 per share X 100 shares, sans commission).

When the market price of a share rises above the strike price, the option holder is “in the money.” If the market price drops, then the holder is “out of the money.”

PUTs

A put gives the option buyer the right to sell an asset at a particular price by a specified date. Again, like a call, this is a right, not an obligation.

Put buyers are anticipating the stock prices to fall before the option’s expiration date. Therefore, in such cases, the market price must drop below the strike price in order to show a profit from exercising the option. For simplicity purposes, the cost of the put is ignored. Under those circumstances the option holder is in the money.

Still using the previous example, maintain the same situation, but this time the option is a put. If the market price falls to $25, the profit would be as follows:

First, $3 x 100 = $300 = Cost of put, excluding commissions.

Purchase 100 shares at $25 per share = $2,500 this is to repay the broker ‘loan’ (this broker loan is a part of shorting stock which is borrowing shares you don’t own, then repaying later).

Sell 100 shares at Strike price = $30, 100 x $30 = $3,000

Profit = ($3000 - $2500) - ($300) = $200.

It is the broker who handles the underlying mechanics. All the investor has to do is order the trades at a given time and date.

Wise investors do their homework and research their strategies, no matter if they are investing in calls or puts. Options trading does present risks and is rather complicated when compared to simple stock trading, although all trading contains an element of complication and risk. But investors in this line should study the history, volatility and other vital factors of both the option contract and the underlying asset.

A trader should never enter the market blindly and trade without doing the proper research first. The failure to do adequate research and go into the trade informed puts the trader at a must greater risk of losing money and not showing a profit.

Visit 123OnlineTrading.com - Options, Stocks, Forex to find books, tips and advice about online options trading. Besides a large selection of free educational articles you can also find powerful books about online trading in general.

Other Resources: 123OnlineStockTrading.com - Stock Trading Links