I would like to present six major parameters of a trading system that you can use to judge their performance in live trading. Backtest your system and look for the following:
1. Maximum value of losses you get during the test of your system. Avoid any system that gives significant drawdown in a single trade, for example 20% of your trading account.
2. The maximum value of profit you get in a single trade. If there is one trade that gave you profit that greatly exceeds the average profitability of the system exclude such a trade. Probably that was just a coincidence. The maximum loss can also be a coincidence but you cannot exclude it since it can be fatal to your account.
3. The next value is the average profit to loss ratio per trade. By average I mean the sum of all the profit divided by number of profitable trades. The average loss is sum of all losses divided by the number of losing trades. You want this parameter to be around 2:1. It actually can be smaller.
4. Win to lose ratio is your next parameter. It is the ratio of total number of profitable trades to the number of losing trades. If you have profit to loss ratio 2:1 then win to lose ratio can be 40% and you can still make money with this system. Usually win to lose ratio rarely exceeds 60%, even though there can be some exceptions. I would like to emphasize that these parameters are for pure mechanical systems when trades are executed based on formal signals of a trading system. For an advanced trader who takes discretionary trades this parameter becomes more individual.
5. The maximum number of consecutive winning trades and maximum number of consecutive losing trades are our next parameters. I explain why these numbers are important. When we start trading the system and number of winning trades approaches the maximum we will expect a losing trade. Knowing these parameters will allow us to avoid overtrading by increasing our lot size because of euphoria from a winning streak. If the number of losing trades exceeds the maximum number then it’s a sign that market conditions are changing and we need to adjust and test the system again.
6. The frequency of signal generation. High frequency will require executing trades very often. That can lead to discomfort and nervousness. On the other hand low frequency will lead to low profitability of the system. Which one you chose depends entirely on your personal preferences.
Based on these six parameters you can test trading systems and pick the one that suits your personality.
Albert Schmidt is a part-time currency trader. After quite a long time of struggle he learned to make consistent profit trading in Forex. Review a trading strategy he successfully uses in his trading Forex.
Story
admin
Saturday 22 November 2008
So many potentially good traders can easily be put off from the outset, because they failed to follow three main rules when they started out. Losing money is result, and the most common problem is ignorance, or at least lack of proper knowledge.
It’s not essentially their fault, because there’s so much available to temp people into trading quickly and easily. Not that it need to be difficult, but you have to follow the rules. Wander from them at your peril, but stick to them and you should find yourself enjoying trading either as a hobby, or full time, if that’s your desire.
Here are 3 essential things you must grasp before you can trade profitably:
1. Your Stop Loss order is crucial. It is the closest thing you have to an insurance policy that ensures your account is not wiped out. And lose money you will. There’s nothing that can be guaranteed in trading the stock market except that you will take hits. But employ a stop loss order and you can rest easy that your losses are kept to a minimum and that you have traded well.
2. Over trading. I think you’d be very unwise to place any more than 5 percent of you trading budget on any trade. Don’t open more than one position when you start either, and look for those trades with more gentle personalities. The FTSE 250 is a good place to look for such trades because they have movement but without the volatility of say, the Forex market. Unfortunately my introduction to trading was by virtue of the commodities market - it all but wiped me out.
3. Emotion will play a huge part in trying to wipe out you account too. It gallops in under two guises - greed and fear. It is crucial you harness and control them and you do this by taking the time to learn a good trading system that you’re comfortable with. It’s about learning a trading plan and then sticking to it until you’re more experienced. I won’t say confident because that could trip you up in the form of greed. Keep greed and fear far behind you, where they belong.
By getting to grips with these three important points, you will better equip yourself for a far better trading experience. Every good trader will tell you to that you focus should be to cut your losses and let your profits run.
How would you like to discover more about the techniques successful traders use to make profitable trades?
Download them free here: Day Trading Course
Ian Jackson is an authority on Day Trading information, learning the hard way - and now he reveals how you can learn the business too, without all the growing pains.
Story
admin
Thursday 20 November 2008
With financial markets in turmoil, press is full of speculation regarding US dollar and Euro. A lot of coverage is given to unprecedented commodities boom, especially record prices for oil and grains. Precious and industrial metals also draw a lot of attention. Credit and debt markets have been on front pages for a couple of years now. Let’s not forget about stock markets, which, both in US and globally, are experiencing wild swings with seemingly no end in sight.
With so much going on, it’s no wonder that some very large moves in currencies have escaped attention, or at least wide coverage. British Pound, for one, has not been mentioned as often as it deserves. Same goes to Swiss Franc, and by extension, the cross of these two currencies, GBP-CHF.
Despite being one of speculator’s favorite financial vehicle, this pair seems to be living in a shadow of it’s cousin, GBP-JPY, which gets far more coverage from Forex analysts. This fact is likely due to much more vaunted stature of Japanese Yen, while Swiss Franc is so much correlated to Euro, that has been loosing trading volume to other currencies, most notably both Australian and Canadian Dollars. By some accounts, even Swedish Krone has reached comparable trading volume about a year ago.
That is when Franc started to regain some of its past luster as a safe heaven during times of uncertainty and financial turmoil. Swiss central bank started to bust interest rates and CHF staged a very impressive rally, lasting better part of a year. Combined with bearish news coming from Great Brittan, GBP-CHF has seen the most severe sell off amongst CHF crosses.
Between July 2007 and March 2008 this pair fell from 2.5000 to 1.9375. That is a staggering 5600+ pips, a huge move by any standard. In fact, it has been first time in over 10 years, and only the second time ever, that this cross fell under 2.0000, a very important psychological level. As it is often the case in such furious moves, the price rebounded sharply from the March low to about 2.0960 and has since settled into a sideways movement.
This “settled price action” is a relative term and true only in light of past few month. Comparing to other currency pairs, daily moves are still large. Average True Range still shows a reading well over 200, and 300+ pips days are the norm. Just last Thursday daily range was over 420 pips. Certainly this kind of volatility demands respect and creates trading opportunities.
Extreme price fluctuations might make it unsuitable for some traders. Also, trading GBP-CHF on short time frames, might be an expensive proposition. The spread, cost of trading, is still relatively wide. Even though over last few years spreads narrowed down, they are still minimum of 6 pips, with 8-10 pips being the norm. In frequent trading, even the larger profit potential might not offset these costs.
Trading longer time frames might be a better proposition for most traders. The recent low of 1.9375 seems to be a major low, which is likely hold for the the rest of this year. As a matter of fact, patterns on long term charts, weekly and monthly, indicate this to be a multi year low. Long term up trend is expected for the rest of the year with a target of 2.1600-2.1800 over next few months. After that next target would be 2.3000 or perhaps even 2.3500, maybe a year later.
This kind of long term expectations should be reviewed and adjusted every few months. As of this writing, the price is around 2.0470, providing us with a substantial long term trading opportunity. Due to large volatility of this pair, one shouldn’t use high leverage as there are almost sure to be severe pullbacks over time. While not suitable for everybody, GBP-CHF is certainly an exciting cross, worth of a closer look.
Mike P. Kulej is a Chief Forex Strategist for Spectrum Forex LLC. He specializes in mechanical trading systems as explained on http://www.spectrumforex.com Spectrum Forex LLC offers numerous services to individual traders. With questions and comments e-mail him at kulej@spectrumforex.com
Story
admin
Wednesday 19 November 2008
This product may be suitable for you if you want to make profits on the stock market without facing the high risks associated with stock strading. You may also enjoy a more diversified trading portfolio. This can be accomplished with trading on the forex market. When contemplating trading on this market, it is crucial that you learn forex.
There are tons of places on the web that you can learn forex. Dozens of automatic programs are available to perform the whole task so you don’t have to. This product offers plug-and-play compatibility, just set it in and start receiving signals. These systems are supposed to provide market indicators for buying and selling at any time.
With so many different options available to you, the thought of learning Forex may seem a bit daunting. The tutorials will teach you how to use the software, but they leave you completely ignorant as to the actual mechanics of trading. Entering digits into a piece of equipment only demonstrates your ability at button pushing. Understanding the indicators provides proof that a machine can reason in your place.
Regardless of what others say, you must learn Forex in order to achieve optimal results. You will need to know about interest rates and the current economic data if you intend to learn forex. You want to make things different, try a different pattern. Comprehending and realizing what interest rates and inflation are about can enable you to earn revenue using Forex.
When you are ready to learn forex it is important to consider that most automated systems are not current with the latest market indicators. You must be willing to go against the grain if you desire to learn Forex. Don’t cut mental corners when educating yourself about forex trading; it is important to learn all the details. It is important that you research and take the time required to understand the market.
It is important to be aware of factors that influence the market. Different currencies from all over the world are utilized and you must know how to compare them. In order to learn forex quickler you will need to know how to compare different currencies to determine the best value. A big help in learning forex that can help people out pretty easily, is watching market trends as the progress up or down. We can predict much about the future of currency by first looking at the history of currency.
While the automated system can do much of the work for you, you will have to use the tutorial to learn forex on your own. Using practice accounts can be very useful in figuring when to buy and sell. You’ll not only learn from your mistakes, but enjoy your victories while you observe the balance grow in your mock accounts. It will take awhile to become familiar with forex and in some cases you will need to learn as you go.
Tony is an avid Forex Trader who Trades for a Very Good Living from Forex. Here is a new site he’s building http://www.forexsecretsrevealed.org
Story
admin
Wednesday 19 November 2008
Forex trading systems are actually the strategies that are used by the dealers. These systems are used by them to maximize their profits. Forex traders will always operate on leverage or margin requirements. Usually the margin requirements are 200:1. Simply put the dealer can do trades for $200,000 if they have $1000 in their accounts.
Another system is placing trade through dealers who never ask for margin calls. Margin calls arise when a trader has lost heavily on their deal and now their margin money would be used to substantiate the losses that they have made in the market. Usually the account is suspended when the losses are mounting.
The technical analysis
One of the forex trading systems is known as the technical analysis. It determines the price of the currency based on the past movements. Most traders use this method to find out what the price movement would be. When is the currency likely to reach a peak, what is the likely lowest point etc., this helps them to enter and exit the markets at convenient levels.
The fundamentals of the price get reflected in the price data. For this other factors or the fundamental factors of the trading systems need not be studied by the traders. Since the price movement has a trend that can be predicted, they are known as signals. This systematic approach lets the trader find the market signal to sell and purchase the currency.
The Fundamental approach
The fundamental analysis is another system. It’s the core elements that affect the economy and in turn the currency and forex markets. The factors are economic, business, government, climatic, political and many other factors that affect the economy. It’s not necessary that all factors should affect this system.
This fundamental approach of the forex systems can tell you whether the currency will appreciate or depreciate and which way the currency would move. But it can’t give pin point accuracy of the price movement of the currency. Most traders will use both the fundamental approach and the technical analysis to understand the trends and signals.
With forex trading software, it’s become very easy to calculate and understand forex trading systems.
For more tips and tricks on how you can make large amounts of money by trading forex, visit our Forex Software Review site where we show you the newest and hottest Forex software on the market including our Forex Tracer Review
Story
admin
Tuesday 18 November 2008
Many people think that Forex trading is a high risk investment. But I can tell you that you can earn much money constantly by calculating the risk and having enough basics.
Forex trading is not complicated as the amateur thought. You must have passion to focus, learn, and do it.
I just revealed the different between success Forex trader and the amateur one. Like you thought, that I’ve done also mistakes when I was amateur. I was there also, and please don’t be panic if you’re fail in the beginning.
Here are the main points which must be paid attention by the beginner:
1. Make a plan to work, trade smart and focus on it
There are many choices of trading in Forex, such as you want to do daily trade, or other trade. You’ve to adjust your plan to your current situation, and then you can trade smartly.
2. Never ever involve too much emotion
This is the main mistake that amateur does in Forex trading. After you’re having plan, be discipline to stick with it. Don’t be too greedy and think clear is the eminent point. You may have seen automated Forex software to do trade for you automatically; all these software might help you not to involve much emotion in Forex trading. You can set you’re entry and output level on the software. Remember, don’t be greedy! All what you need is to stick to your plan
3. Choose a friendly use automated Forex system program
There are a lot of package of software that offer you vary benefits. A friendly use system program is the one that easily understandable and can make Forex trading simple for the amateur. You can choose complete package of the automated Forex software including 1on1 help, books and guides by the Forex expert. It’s highly recommended for the amateur. Besides you can have $500 directly in your trading account and if the system doesn’t work or fit with you, you can get your money back 100%.
4. Understand the method of your automated Forex software
Keep calm if you feel hard to understand the software as the beginner. I’ve chosen 5 best automated Forex systems for you which are already complete with manual guidance. This manual guidance is made even when you’re completely new in Forex trading world. By understanding how does the software work, you can feel confident in making decision.
One prominent point of using automated Forex software is you don’t have to sit in front of your computer all day long; because it trades it self and you still can do your daily work normally. Automated Forex software can make money for you.
5. Chose complete package of automated Forex software
Every system has it own weakness and we should not only rely on one automated Forex system. I suggest you to have Forex Brotherhood software which already has complete package for the amateur. And I must upfront with you that this is the most expensive automated software than the other. But I can guarantee you that it’s worth it. When you’re already pro in Forex trading, I suggest you to have the simplest system, because it makes simple for you in the way of trading.
All the automated Forex software is instant download upon payment and very easy installed on your normal computer.
So, are you ready to start trading forex successfully? Check out here comparison of the best automated Forex trading software: http://www.best-automated-forex-system.blogspot.com
Story
admin
Sunday 16 November 2008
It is a fact that these days even the experts seek the help of forex softwares to enhance their performance, and that is so for a simple reason: a forex software, if reliable, will get them into over 90% winning trades, many of which will be placed by the forex software during the night time, when we humans are sleeping.
Forex trading is certainly the one business where you can make the most money, but also, if do not know what you are doing or do not have the right tools, forex trading can also be the best way to lose money. This is when a forex software comes into play, because it will allow you to trade with the edge of having an expert by your side, only this expert will be working for you 24 hours per day, without complaining and taking advantage of every single opportunity for a good trade.
But assessing the reliability of a forex software is not always an easy task, given the array of competitors offering products. To determine whether you are before the best or not, you must consider aspects like the actual profit potential, cost, guarantees and support.
The reason for considering the profit potential in a forex software is quite obvious. On the other hand, if it has a high profit potential, cost should not really be an issue, because you will make far more money than what you will pay, however, if you can have the best forex software for a fair price this is undoubtedly the best way to go.
And last but not least, we find the single most important aspect when choosing the best forex software: guarantees and support. If you land on a place offering a forex software and you do not see a money back guarantee nor do they have contact information or support, you should not even consider it as an option. You should not settle for less than an 8 week money back guarantee, and never purchase from a company that will not offer contact information or support.
The guarantee is very important, because even if you get your hands on the best forex software you still will need time to familiarize with it and use it on a demo account for a few days before you put it to work on real money.
If you follow these guidelines, you are certain to choose the best forex software thus ensuring a safe and profitable trading operation right from the start.
You can find reliable information about forex softwares and system at this site: http://www.specialonlinebusinessreviewauthority.com/best-forex-trade-systems.html I currently use one of the softwares they evaluate and so far their assessments are accurate.
Story
admin
Saturday 15 November 2008
These are very troubled times in the global financial markets, but does this mean that it is a bad time to trade the foreign exchange market?
About a year ago when the U S dollar was in free fall against a basket of currencies, Warren Buffett announced that he had great faith in the long term strength of his national currency and he made a very large purchase of the U S dollar.
At this moment in time, when markets are diving and previously strong currencies are dropping like a brick, the U S dollar has shrugged off the overall state of the economy and is gaining strength - Just as Warren Buffett predicted.
How did he know?
In times of turmoil and financial depression there are always those few who do rather well. So what is their secret?
In the book - The Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy by Douglas Adams - one of the central characters is a researcher for that guide, and he states that one of the things that has made the guide so popular is that emblazoned on the front cover are the reassuring words:- DON’T PANIC
I would suggest that these words would apply equally to all forex traders at present.
The reason that there are a few who succeed when chaos is all around is that amongst other things, they understand the need to not panic. They know that there will still be opportunities, but unlike during the “good times” those opportunities need to be watched and waited for. They also understand that this will not be a good time to make rash decisions. High probability trades will still be available, but there may be fewer of them.
When trading the forex, there are a galaxy of trading methods and instruments to call upon. What worked well for you in the past may continue to work - if you have the control to watch and wait for the right moment, but this will not be a good time for those traders that like to “jump right in”
Warren Buffett states that when he sees everyone getting out of something, that is the very time that he likes to get in. This is a classic case of DON’T PANIC.
I should add here that although getting in as everyone else is getting out has obviously worked extremely well for Warren Buffett, do bear in mind that he does have “very deep pockets” which allows him to “buy and hold”.
Even in these turbulent times the age old adage “the trend is your friend” still holds true - albeit that the trends may be of somewhat shorter duration than we may have become used to. Perhaps a better adage would be “the short term trend is your friend.
As I have stated, although we are in the early stages of very turbulent trading times which I suspect will get worse before they get better, this is a good time to learn not to panic.
Take time to review your trading method or system and ensure that it is a suitable method for turbulent market conditions.
If necessary add some additional filters to smooth out some of the turbulent action.
Be prepared to spend time adjusting your trading system to the current market conditions and to spend time demo trading to test any adjustments that you may make to your trading system. It would be very unwise to test any alterations that you have made to your trading system in a live account.
For some, this volatile period will be a very profitable time. Make sure that you are one of them.
Martin Bottomley is a full time professional forex trader, acknowledged author, forex tutor and co-developer of forex trading software including The Amazing Stealth Forex Trading system. You will find more information at: http://www.stealthforex.com
Story
admin
Friday 14 November 2008
Automated forex robots are the choice of many new traders but the profits they promise are just fantasy in most cases and the reality is a quick wipe out of your account. Let’s look at why they lose…
If you want to trust an expert you can but make sure they can do what they and have a track record and no where is this more important than with forex trading robots. Fact is the profits they claim are not real, their fantasy paper profits.
Just check the track record and look at the small print and you will see that It’s a back tested simulation.
Well to me that’s not hard, a child could do that and paper profits cannot be spent down the store!
The acid test is doing it in the market and making real dollars, the huge amount of forex automated forex robots sold, have simply never done this.
How can you claim a system will make money for the user, when it’s never made a cent in real time? It doesn’t make sense to me.
Would you trust a system where the vendor hasn’t bothered trading it, despite the fact he tells you it can make you a millionaire? Neither would I, avoid them.
Are There Any Good Ones?
Yes there are and we have written about a free one - The 4 Week Rule which works and will out perform all the ones with simulated track records, its explained in our other articles so look them up.
You can also get some with real track records which are solid and while these systems cost more, than the $100 buck simulations, you have real evidence of profits and can make your money back many times over.
When looking at any forex trading system, the key is to avoid the simulations, look for ones that have made money and ones you agree with the logic.
This means, that if know the logic, you can have confidence in the system and you can trade it through draw down periods, all systems have them and you need to apply with discipline until you hit a home run.
So there are few automated forex robots that can make you money, it’s a tiny minority but find them and you can achieve long term profits.
FREE Successful Currency Trading Robot and More FREE Essential Education
For free 2 x trading Pdf’s, with 50 of pages of essential info and a FREE Currency Trading Robot visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com
Story
admin
Sunday 9 November 2008
Using Forex Killer is easy. I’ve been using it for a while now and find it’s interface to be simple and it’s performance to be effective. But… you must familiarize yourself with the instructions and have some sound money management skills or you could blow your money away.
Automated Forex trading is somewhat of a revolution lately as it allows regular people like you and me to trade currency with the “big guns”. This is great if done correctly and can make you very rich. But the currency trading world is very complex and most newbies lose money from the get go.
Wouldn’t it be nice if you had your own trader, making the important difficult decisions when it comes to buying and selling? Well, by using Forex Killer you do. I bought my program a few months ago and installed it. After a bit of tweaking it was ready to go. I initially traded on the demo account, with full functionality but not with real money. After 2 days of auto trading I had a profit of $200 on an initial demo amount of $1000. This is what I would have profited had I been live with real cash. I was excited and opened up my first real trade…
Having put down only $300, I waited anxiously as Forex Killer waited to start a trade. Then it did. Five hours later I had my first winning trade at $30 profit. Now that may not sound like much, but, I left it on overnight. The next day I had two more winning trades and a total of $85 profit. Since then I am making my living on this and am very happy with the amount of winning trades I get by using Forex Killer.
Before you go out and buy your Forex software, make sure you read some good comparisons. Learn more about the best ones at ForexAutoTradingReviews
Story
admin
Saturday 8 November 2008